valuation
5. Valuation Report

Executive Summary
This report details the principles and methods for determining a valuation for Snap Claim
Snap Claim is a US claims-first insurtech that turns a routine insurance claim into a 60-second phone flow and adjudicates it with AI in the background. The company sells to carriers, earns on every claim it processes, and shares in the loss-adjustment expense it removes. Seven carriers run live today, processing 72,000 claims a month at a blended $9.60 per claim. The business runs at $8.4M ARR with 128% net revenue retention and gross margin heading from 74% to 82%.
| Pre Money Valuation | 72,000,000 |
| Capital Raised | 18,000,000 |
| Post Money Valuation | 90,000,000 |
| Dilution | 20.00% |
| Method | Value | Weighting | Weighted value |
| Berkus Method 2022 | 70,000,000 | 20% | 14,000,000 |
| Risk Factor Summation Method | 66,000,000 | 15% | 9,900,000 |
| Scorecard Method | 74,000,000 | 20% | 14,800,000 |
| Venture Capital Method | 78,000,000 | 15% | 11,700,000 |
| Discounted Cash Flows Method | 74,000,000 | 15% | 11,100,000 |
| First Chicago Method | 70,000,000 | 15% | 10,500,000 |
| 100% | 72,000,000 |
Table of Contents
Principles & Methodology
Valuation Principles
Methodology
Base Value
Application of Methodology
Berkus Method
Risk Factor Summation Method
Scorecard Method
Venture Capital Method
Discounted Cash Flows Method
First Chicago Method
Disclaimer
4
5-7
8-12
13
14
15-16
17-18
19-21
22-23
24-25
26-29
30
Principles & Methodology

Valuation Principles:
A fair price both sides can explain
Balanced inputs: We use facts that are sourced, dated, and unitized. Assumptions are consistent across the report and cross-checked against reality. Outliers are flagged, not quietly averaged in. If a number changes upstream, the downstream math updates.
Business first: We start with what exists today, not a model target. Product in market, real usage, paying customers, and unit economics drive the band. A method output cannot leapfrog weak evidence. Strong evidence can justify a higher position in the band.
Market anchored: We reference current rounds, relevant comps, revenue multiples, and the cost of capital. Each data point has a source and a date so readers can judge freshness. Stale or non-comparable data is excluded. The market view informs both band selection and method checks.
Shared fairness : Both sides should be able to explain the number in a few sentences. Steps are reproducible from inputs to final output, with no hidden tweaks. If we override a method, we say what we changed and why. The same logic applies to everyone.
Durable value: We test how much the conclusion moves under reasonable changes. Band up or down one notch, weight shifts, and small input swings are shown. The report highlights what would materially raise or lower value and points to the evidence required.
Data with judgment: We prefer data, but early companies have gaps. Where inputs are thin, we use conservative ranges and state the rationale. We mark what would confirm the estimate. No false precision, no unexplained plugs.
Transparent and repeatable: Inputs are visible, formulas are standard, totals reconcile. The executive summary pulls directly from the method pages. Version, preparer, and sources create an audit trail. A reader can rebuild the result in a simple spreadsheet.
This report shows exactly how these principles are applied, step by step
Valuation Principles:
The table links each principle to the proof we show and where to find it. Use it as a checklist while you review. If something is missing in a live report, we flag the gap and note the impact.
| Principle | What we show | Section |
| Balanced inputs | Source list, dated assumptions, currency and units on every table | Scope and Sources |
| Business first | Stage table with evidence lines for product, team, traction, run rate, go to market, unit economics | Stage of Business |
| Market anchored | Market-band table plus seed comps with pre-money, round size, dilution, date, links | Market Conditions, Scorecard |
| Shared fairness | Single weighting model and one triangulation, with overrides documented | Weighting and Triangulation |
| Durable value | Two sensitivities: band up or down; weight shift internal vs market | Sensitivities |
| Data with judgment | Analyst notes where inputs are thin and what adjustment was made | Method footers |
| Transparent and repeatable | Standard method template: inputs box, calc box, output, caveat | Method pages, Exec Summary |
What this gives you. A traceable valuation with sources, consistent methods, and one reconciled result. You can verify inputs, rerun the math, and see where judgment was used. Fair, explainable, repeatable.
Valuation Process
We value using a simple waterfall. We place the company on the stage map, read today’s market, set a fair range, then run methods to plot a point inside that range. That point drives round terms.
Stage. Evidence comes from what exists now. Product live with carriers, team coverage and ownership, traction and retention, run-rate and payback signals, and the current sales motion. Snap Claim's seven live carriers, $8.4M ARR and 128% net revenue retention set the baseline for peers.
Market. We look at the funding climate and the speed of the round, exit activity and recent revenue multiples, plus macro and cost of capital. Insurtech-infrastructure rounds and recent claims-automation exits shift the baseline to match current pricing.
Range. This bracket is what a willing buyer and seller would call reasonable today. Every method output must sit inside it. If one lands outside, we explain it and constrain it.
Methods
Berkus credits core building blocks up to a cap.
Risk Factor starts at the midpoint and adjusts for 12 drivers.
Scorecard references recent comparable rounds.
VC Method works back from a sensible exit and required return.
Discounted Cash Flow discounts the model's projected free cash flows back to present value.
First Chicago averages 3 scenarios of the DCF
Result. Weighted result = the sum of each method value times its weight = the concluded point.
Methodology
A valuation sits inside a range that a willing buyer and seller would call reasonable today. Two readings set that range: the company’s stage, which is internal evidence of progress, and the market band, which is external conditions in the round environment. Both pull on the same fair price, from different sides.
Stage of business
Where the company sits on the startup curve. We score seven internal signals of progress. The stage sets the baseline against peers.
Product. What exists in users' hands and how stable it is.
Team. Who is on the field and how roles are covered.
Traction. Evidence that people want it.
Run rate. Current revenue level and path to profit.
Capital raised. How much outside capital and from whom.
Go to market. Channels in use and how repeatable they are.
Unit economics. CAC, margins, payback, and LTV quality.
Market band
Where the round sits in current market conditions. We read seven external signals. The band shifts the baseline up or down to match what the market is paying right now.
Funding climate. How active investors are and how fast rounds close.
Exit activity. Depth of buyers and recent outcomes.
Revenue multiples. Typical EV to ARR for comparable companies.
Competitive intensity. How crowded and strong the field is.
Regulatory support. Headwinds or tailwinds from rules and incentives.
Talent pool depth. Availability and cost of key hires.
Macro and cost of capital. Rates, liquidity, and risk appetite.
Methodology
The table below maps each internal signal to what an early, neutral, or late stage reading looks like in practice. The strongest cluster of signals sets the stage.
| Market band | Product | Team | Traction | Run rate | Capital raised | Go to market | Unit economics |
| Early stage | A basic prototype or demo tests if the idea works. | One or two founders cover all roles and responsibilities. | Early interest shows as waitlists, interviews, or beta sign-ups. | Revenue is negligible while learning. | Small angel or friends-and-family checks. | Founder-led sales and direct conversations. | Costs and value per user are unknown. |
| Neutral | A live MVP ships updates fast and collects real user feedback. | A core team forms with technical and commercial ownership defined. | First paying users engage consistently and form cohorts. | Recurring revenue grows and pricing stabilizes. | Seed fund or notable angels invest; hiring and go to market begin. | One repeatable channel with CAC and payback tracking. | Cohort data emerges; breakeven nears; payback shortens. |
| Late stage | A polished product with a roadmap and integrations ready to scale | Functional leads join, supported by lightweight management structures. | Retention strengthens and usage becomes stable and predictable. | Annualized revenue above $100k with a clear path to profit. | Larger rounds fund headcount, product depth, and scale. | Multi-channel playbook with strong, repeatable metrics | CAC stays below LTV; margins expand; efficiency improves. |
Methodology
The table below maps each market signal to what an unfavorable, neutral, or favorable reading looks like in practice. We anchor the band to the strongest cluster of signals.
| Market band | Funding climate | Exit activity | Revenue-multiple benchmarks | Competitive intensity | Regulatory or policy support | Talent-pool depth | Macro tailwinds and cost of capital |
| Unfavorable | Deals sporadic, few committed investors, slow term sheets. | No recent exits; buyers scarce; pricing signals unclear. | Below 2x ARR for most. | Incumbents dominate; startups struggle for attention. | Active headwinds or legal risk create hurdles. | Specialist talent scarce, hiring slow, salaries spiking. | Rising rates and recession fears tighten lending and compress multiples. |
| Neutral | Steady flow of rounds with heavy diligence. | Occasional sub-$100m acquisitions show cautious liquidity. | 4x to 6x ARR for solid performers. | Crowded market with credible contenders. | Predictable rules with some grey areas. | Adequate local plus remote supply; budgets tight. | Neutral macro keeps capital available on prudent terms. |
| Favorable | Oversubscribed raises, multiple funds chasing. | Regular $500m+ exits and IPO chatter signal strong liquidity. | 10x ARR and above where optimism is high. | Winner-takes-most dynamics; fast movers scale quickly. | Incentives and clear approvals accelerate adoption. | Deep bench of experienced leaders; compensation stabilizes. | Low rates and strong flows unlock growth capital. |
Methodology
| Stage ↓ \ Band → | Band 1 | Band 2 | Band 3 | Band 4 | Band 5 |
| Pre-Seed | $0.5M - $1.5M | $1.0M - $2.0M | $2.0M - $4.0M | $3.5M - $7.0M | $6.0M - $14.0M |
| Early Seed | $1.0M - $3.0M | $2.0M - $4.0M | $4.5M - $8.5M | $7.5M - $15.5M | $14.5M - $34.5M |
| Seed | $1.5M - $3.5M | $2.5M - $5.5M | $6.5M - $11.5M | $10.5M - $22.5M | $21.0M - $49.0M |
| Late Seed | $2.0M - $5.0M | $3.5M - $7.5M | $8.0M - $15.0M | $13.5M - $28.5M | $27.5M - $63.5M |
| Early Series A | $2.5M - $6.5M | $5.0M - $11.0M | $13.5M - $24.5M | $24.0M - $50.0M | $51.5M - $120.5M |
| Series A | $4.0M - $9.0M | $7.5M - $15.5M | $19.0M - $35.0M | $34.5M - $71.5M | $73.5M - $171.5M |
| Late Series A | $5.0M - $11.0M | $9.5M - $19.5M | $24.5M - $45.5M | $44.5M - $92.5M | $95.5M - $223.5M |
Having determined the stage of business and band within that stage we use industry data to get a value range.
Methodology
After defining the range of value, we apply six valuation methods to triangulate where within that range Snap Claim sits. These methods are weighted by stage: earlier stages weight internal methods more heavily, later stages weight external and forecasted methods.
Internal methodologies
- Berkus Method
- Risk Factor Summation Method
External methodologies
- Scorecard Valuation Method
- Venture Capital Method
Forecasted methodologies
- Discounted Cash Flow Method
- First Chicago Method
Method weighting by stage
Pre-seed
Seed
Series A
Base Value
We have identified that Snap Claim stage of business fits into Band 5 of Series A round.
Giving it a value of $55M - $85M
The company has a live carrier base, proven straight-through economics and a defensible position at the moment of the claim. ARR reached $8.4M with seven carriers live and 72,000 claims processed a month across the trailing period. Net revenue retention runs at 128% and 41% of claims settle with no adjuster touch. What the Series A funds is scale: deeper straight-through-processing coverage, new carrier integrations and the compliance layer carriers demand before they plug anyone into their book. The business sits at the seam between claims operations that only a carrier insider understands and adjudication AI that only a machine-learning team can run.
Application of Methodology

Valuation Methods

Berkus Method
The Berkus Method is a widely used framework for valuing pre-revenue, early-stage startups where limited financial data is available. Developed by Dave Berkus in the mid-1990s for the technology sector, it provides a structured way to estimate value based on a company’s progress across key business risk areas rather than speculative forecasts.
The model assigns scores (typically 0 to 10) to five key factors, each weighted equally and multiplied by a predetermined dollar amount. Traditionally, the maximum assigned per factor was $500,000, yielding a total valuation cap of $2,500,000. In 2016, Berkus updated the model to recognize that industry, geography, and market conditions may warrant adjustments to the cap or weighting.
Strengths
Straightforward and well suited to early-stage assessments. Focuses on qualitative factors, allowing reviewers to consider elements beyond historic traction and forecasts, which are difficult to predict at early stages.
Limitations
Equal weighting across all factors can oversimplify. Subjective scoring increases the risk of bias. Business-model nuances may be missed, and accuracy depends on selecting appropriate industry benchmarks for the cap.
key evaluation criteria
Five business-risk factors. Each scored independently.
Sound Idea
Foundational value
Prototype
Reduces technical risk
Quality Management Team
Reduces execution risk
Strategic Relationships
Reduces market-entry risk
Product Rollout or Sales
Reduces go-to-market and scaling risk
Berkus Method
For the total value cap we use the upper bound of the band determined from our methodology above and divide by 5 to get the maximum value of each evaluation criteria.
| Value Driver | Value | Score (1-10) | Rationale | Assigned Value |
| Sound Idea | 20,000,000 | 8 | For a routine claim, most of what a carrier pays is handling, not loss. A simple claim carries $40 to $90 of loss-adjustment expense and takes days to close. Snap Claim collapses it to a 60-second phone flow and straight-through adjudication, which is cheaper for the carrier and better for the claimant. The insight is proven on live books, not on paper. | 16,000,000 |
| Prototype | 20,000,000 | 7 | Snap Claim runs in production today. Seven carriers are live, 72,000 claims flow through the platform each month, and 41% settle with no adjuster touch at an average 19 hours to first payment. The product is real and revenue-generating, short of the straight-through coverage the raise is funded to reach. | 14,000,000 |
| Quality Management Team | 20,000,000 | 8 | Daniel Goddard ran claims operations at a top-5 US carrier handling roughly 4M claims a year. Priya Nair built production document-AI and adjudication systems at scale. Marcus Ellison, an FCAS, owns model governance and regulator relationships. The founding team covers claims, ML and actuarial, which is rare in the category. | 16,000,000 |
| Strategic Relationships | 20,000,000 | 6 | Seven carriers are live on the platform, touching $3.8B of premium, and net revenue retention runs at 128% as carriers expand across lines. The actuarial and claims-leadership network seeds new carrier pipeline. Relationships are deep on the live book, still forming across the wider carrier market. | 12,000,000 |
| Product Rollout or Sales | 20,000,000 | 6 | The company is at $8.4M ARR with 72,000 claims a month and positive contribution from the first claim. Straight-through processing, the value driver for the raise, sits at 41% and scales to 61% by Year 3. Core traction is strong; full automation coverage is early. | 12,000,000 |
| Total | 100,000,000 | 35 | Concluded | 70,000,000 |
Risk Factor Summation Method
The Risk Factor Summation Method (RFS) is a structured valuation framework for early-stage companies with some operational visibility but still facing significant uncertainty. It scores a set of risk categories from minus two (significant risk) to plus two (significant strength), applying adjustments to a base valuation drawn from comparable companies.
Each point adjustment carries a fixed monetary value, determined by taking the delta between the low and high of the value band and dividing it by the total number of points (48). The cumulative adjustment, positive or negative, is added to or subtracted from the base valuation to arrive at the final pre-money valuation.
This approach offers more granularity than purely qualitative models, capturing both business-specific and market-driven risks. It is most useful when a company has begun operations but is not yet mature enough for cash-flow-based models.
Strengths
Covers a wider range of business and market risks than Berkus or Scorecard, offering a more detailed view of both risks and strengths. The transparent adjustment process helps ensure investor alignment.
Limitations
Equal weight across all categories. Focused on risk exposure rather than opportunity upside. Relies on skilled judgment and a solid base valuation, which adds complexity.
risk categories assessed
Twelve categories. Each scored independently from negative two to positive two.
Management risk
-2 to +2Stage of business
-2 to +2Legislation, political risk
-2 to +2Manufacturing risk
-2 to +2Sales and marketing risk
-2 to +2Funding, capital raise risk
-2 to +2Competition risk
-2 to +2Technology risk
-2 to +2Litigation risk
-2 to +2International, geographic risk
-2 to +2Reputation risk
-2 to +2Potential for lucrative exit
-2 to +2Risk Factor Summation Method
The base valuation uses the midpoint of the value band. The value of a point is the delta between the low and high of the band divided by the total number of points (48). Per-risk scores aggregate to a single adjustment applied to the base.
| Risk | Score | Rationale |
| Management | 2 | Daniel Goddard ran claims operations at a top-5 US carrier handling roughly 4M claims a year, Priya Nair built production adjudication AI at scale, and Marcus Ellison, an FCAS, owns model governance and regulator relationships. A rare claims-plus-ML-plus-actuarial founding team on one cap table earns the positive score. |
| Stage of the business | 0 | Snap Claim is live and growing, with seven carriers and $8.4M ARR, but it still runs a planned EBITDA loss through Year 2 before turning positive in Year 3. Real traction offsets a pre-profit burn, so stage risk is neutral. |
| Legislation, political risk | -1 | Snap Claim touches regulated claims handling, so state DOI oversight, model governance and licensing all apply. SOC 2 and actuarial governance are on the roadmap and Marcus Ellison owns the regulator relationships, but rule-making on AI adjudication is a live risk. |
| Manufacturing risk | 0 | The platform carries no manufacturing or inventory dependency. It relies on third-party data enrichment and inference capacity, both commoditized and multi-sourced. Supply risk is neutral. |
| Sales and marketing risk | 1 | Net revenue retention runs at 128% as carriers expand across lines, and gross-profit payback on a carrier lands in about three months. The land-and-expand motion inside a live book is a genuine strength, tempered by six-to-nine-month enterprise sales cycles. |
| Funding, capital raising risk | -1 | This $18M Series A funds a planned burn to EBITDA-positive in Year 3, with cumulative loss of roughly $16.5M across Years 1 and 2. The company depends on this round to reach profitability, so capital risk sits slightly negative. |
| Competition risk | -1 | AI damage estimators, workflow SaaS, incumbent claims ecosystems and AI-native carriers all touch parts of the claim. None owns it end to end and multi-line, but well-capitalized incumbents can respond, so competition risk is a mild negative. |
| Technology risk | 0 | Adjudication runs in production today, settling 41% of claims with no adjuster touch at 19 hours to first payment. The technology is proven on the routine tail it targets; deeper straight-through coverage is the work the raise funds. Technology risk is neutral. |
| Litigation risk | 0 | There is no active litigation, regulatory complaint or employment dispute. The cap table is clean and carrier contracts are structured for a claims-processing platform. Litigation risk is neutral. |
| International risk | 1 | Snap Claim operates in the United States only, under a single national market and one set of state-level regimes. No cross-border expansion is planned inside this round, so international execution risk is low. |
| Reputation risk | 1 | The founders come out of top-tier US carriers and claims-AI teams with a clean record and no negative press. Ex-carrier credibility is exactly what regulators and carrier claims leaders demand before plugging anyone into a live book. |
| Potential lucrative exit | 1 | Insurtech and claims-automation M&A is active, with core-systems and AI-estimation businesses acquired at strong revenue multiples and carriers acquiring capability rather than building it. The exit path exists and is well-trodden. |
Aggregate
| Total Score | 3 |
Pre-money build
| Value of a point | 2,000,000 |
| Adjustment to base | 6,000,000 |
| Base value | 60,000,000 |
| Pre-money value | 66,000,000 |
Scorecard Method
The Scorecard Valuation Method, also known as the Bill Payne Method, is one of the most widely used approaches by angel investors for valuing early-stage companies. It benchmarks the target against comparable startups that have recently raised funding, adjusting the average valuation based on company-specific strengths and weaknesses across weighted factors.
We identify three comparable companies in the same geography, sector, and stage, and average their pre-money valuations. The target is then scored against the benchmark across multiple weighted factors, assigning a multiplier where 1.0x equals the comparable benchmark. The weighted scores produce the adjusted pre-money valuation.
Strengths
Straightforward and easy to apply, with weightings that reflect the importance of each factor. Widely used by angel investors and early-stage funds.
Limitations
Requires skill and judgment to score factors correctly. May miss certain risks or unique business aspects. Does not fully consider external market conditions.
key evaluation factors
Seven weighted factors. Multipliers applied to the comparable benchmark.
Strength of the Management Team
30%Size of the Opportunity
20%Product / Technology
20%Competitive Environment
15%Marketing, Sales, Channels, Partnerships
5%Need for Additional Investment
5%Other (traction, NPS, customer feedback)
5%Scorecard Method
Below are the 3 identified companies for comparison. Each should fall within the stage of business and band identified above to be a fair comparison for this method
Shift Technology
Paris- and New-York-based claims-automation and fraud-detection platform founded in 2014 by Jeremy Jawish, Eric Sibony and David Durrleman. Sells AI decisioning to insurers across claims, underwriting and fraud, and raised at roughly a US$1B valuation in its 2021 Series D.
Capital Raised: 1,000,000,000Date Raised: Aug-14
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/shift-technology
Tractable
London-based computer-vision company founded in 2014 by Alex Dalyac and Razvan Ranca. Its AI estimates vehicle and property damage from photos for insurers, and it raised at a roughly US$1B valuation in 2021. Strong on visual estimation, a single step rather than the end-to-end claim.
Capital Raised: 1,000,000,000Date Raised: Sep-14
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/tractable
Snapsheet
Chicago-based virtual claims and payments platform founded in 2011 by Brad Weisberg. Provides carrier-facing claims workflow and digital payments, adjuster-centric rather than a 60-second claimant experience, and is estimated around a US$250M valuation on its later rounds.
Capital Raised: 250,000,000Date Raised: Mar-11
https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/snapsheet
Scorecard Method
Weighted factor scores and same-stage comparable inputs produce the multiplier and adjusted pre-money valuation.
| Weighting | Shift Technology | Tractable | Snapsheet | |
| Capital Raised at relevant stage | 3,360,000 | 2,520,000 | 2,520,000 | |
| Assumed dilution | 40% | 30% | 30% | |
| Implied valuation at raise | 8,400,000 | 8,400,000 | 8,400,000 | |
| Strength of the Management Team | 30% | 8.30 x | 8.15 x | 8.00 x |
| Size of the Opportunity | 20% | 8.50 x | 8.35 x | 8.25 x |
| Product / Technology | 20% | 8.70 x | 8.55 x | 8.50 x |
| Competitive Environment | 15% | 8.90 x | 8.75 x | 8.75 x |
| Marketing, Sales, Channels, Partnerships | 5% | 9.10 x | 8.95 x | 9.00 x |
| Need for Additional Investment | 5% | 9.30 x | 9.15 x | 9.25 x |
| Other | 5% | 9.50 x | 9.35 x | 9.50 x |
| Total | 100% | 8.90x | 8.75x | 8.75x |
| Weighting | 40% | 30% | 30% | |
| Weighted Value | 29,904,000 | 22,050,000 | 22,050,000 | |
| Pre-Money Value | 74,000,000 | |||
Venture Capital Method
The Venture Capital Method, also known as the Exit Event Method, values a startup based on a future liquidity event such as an IPO or acquisition. It is widely used by venture investors for pre-revenue or early-stage companies with limited financial history.
We start with a credible exit value drawn from comparable exits in the target sector. Each comparable carries a risk-adjustment factor reflecting the probability of the target reaching that scale, and a weighting reflecting how representative it is. The sum across comps gives a probability-weighted exit value that serves as the anchor.
A required return multiple, calibrated to investment risk, time horizon, and exit probability, then converts the exit value to today’s pre-money: Value = Exit Value divided by Required Return Multiple. The method focuses on return expectations and does not incorporate interim operational performance.
Strengths
Aligns valuation with investor return expectations. Useful for pre-revenue and early-stage companies. Transparent, easy-to-follow calculation framework.
Limitations
Highly sensitive to exit assumptions. Overlooks interim execution risk and capital needs before exit. Does not capture free cash flow generated along the way.
method steps
From comparable exits to a pre-money valuation in six steps.
Estimate exit value
From compsApply risk adjustment
Per compWeight by representativeness
By stage and fitSum to probability-weighted exit
AnchorApply required return multiple
IRR or multipleDerive pre-money valuation
OutputVenture Capital Method
Three comparable stage exits in Band 5 are adjusted for the probability of Snap Claim reaching that scale, weighted by representativeness, then converted to today’s pre-money using the required return multiple.
| Comparable | Exit Value | Adjustment | Rationale | Weighting | Consideration |
EvolutionIQ Acquisition · Jan-25 https://www.cccis.com/newsroom/ccc-to-acquire-evolutioniq | 730,000,000 | 9.00 x | CCC Intelligent Solutions agreed to acquire EvolutionIQ, a claims-guidance AI company, at roughly US$730M in 2025. Snap Claim shares the AI-adjudication DNA but targets high-frequency routine claims rather than complex long-tail files. The 30 percent weighting reflects a close technology fit, discounted for EvolutionIQ's different claim segment. | 30.00% | 75,600,000 |
Duck Creek Acquisition · Mar-23 https://www.vistaequitypartners.com/news/duck-creek-technologies | 2,600,000,000 | 9.60 x | Vista Equity Partners took Duck Creek Technologies private at about US$2.6B in 2023 after it built carrier-grade claims and policy SaaS. Snap Claim sells into the same carrier buyer but on a per-claim, outcome-priced model rather than seat licences. The 30 percent weighting reflects buyer and category fit, discounted for Duck Creek's larger, later-stage base. | 30.00% | 80,640,000 |
One Inc Acquisition · Jun-24 https://www.bridgepoint.eu/news/one-inc | 1,000,000,000 | 9.30 x | One Inc, a carrier claims-payments platform, changed hands at roughly US$1B in 2024. Snap Claim owns the whole claim through to that payment rather than the payment step alone. The 40 percent weighting reflects the closest business-model fit among the three, applied to a conservative revenue multiple. | 40.00% | 78,120,000 |
| Probability-weighted exit value | 480,000,000 | ||||
| Return Factor | 5.00x |
| Pre-Money Valuation | 78,000,000 |
| Less Capital Raised | 18,000,000 |
| Post-Money Valuation | 96,000,000 |
Discounted Cash Flows Method
The DCF Method estimates valuation as the present value of expected future cash flows. It is most useful for businesses with stable, predictable earnings and a credible operating history.
We forecast free cash flows over five years and add a terminal value computed via the Perpetuity Growth Method or a comparable P/E multiple. Each cash flow is discounted at a rate that reflects risk and stage.
The sum of discounted cash flows plus the discounted terminal gives enterprise value, which adjusts for net debt and cash to arrive at equity.
Strengths
Intrinsic, rooted in expected financial performance. Suited to established businesses with historical financials and forward visibility.
Limitations
Highly sensitive to assumptions. Less applicable for early-stage or pre-revenue companies where forecasts lack reliability.
method steps
From forecast cash flows to equity value in six steps.
Forecast free cash flows
5-year horizonApply discount rate
Cost of capitalDetermine terminal value
PGM or P/EDiscount each year to today
Year by yearSum present values
Enterprise valueAdjust for net debt and cash
Equity valueDiscounted Cash Flows Method
Projected free cash flows and a terminal assumption are discounted at the cost of capital to derive enterprise value. Discounted years one through five plus the discounted terminal sum to today’s value.
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
| Free cash flow | -11,000,000 | -5,500,000 | 9,800,000 | 25,000,000 | 44,000,000 |
| Earnings, Year 5 | 44,000,000 | ||||
| P/E ratio | 10.00x | ||||
| Terminal value | 440,000,000 | ||||
| Discount rate | 45.00% | ||||
| Present value of cash flow | -7,586,207 | -2,615,933 | 3,214,564 | 5,655,461 | 6,864,559 |
| Present value of terminal value | 68,467,556 | ||||
| Enterprise value | 74,000,000 | ||||
First Chicago Method
The First Chicago Method is a scenario-based valuation approach that combines DCF and comparable company analysis. It evaluates a business by modeling three potential futures: best case, base case, and worst case.
Each scenario flexes free cash flow by a defined percentage. The DCF method runs on each scenario, producing three values. Probabilities are assigned across the three scenarios and must sum to 100%. The output is the probability-weighted average of the three DCF results.
Strengths
Captures a range of outcomes with probabilistic weighting. Useful for later-stage companies where multiple scenarios can be modelled with credible inputs.
Limitations
Sensitive to both scenario assumptions and probability weighting. Requires significant data and effort. Not suitable for early-stage or pre-revenue companies.
method steps
Five steps from base DCF to a probability-weighted value.
Build base case
DCF defaultDefine best case
FCF upliftDefine worst case
FCF haircutAssign probabilities
Sum to 100%Compute weighted average
Probability-weighted DCFFirst Chicago Method
Best, base, and worst DCF cases are given probabilities; their weighted average is the value.
| Scenario | Change in Free Cash | Probability | Value | Weighted Value |
| Best case | 20% | 20% | 90,000,000 | 18,000,000 |
| Base case | 40% | 74,000,000 | 29,600,000 | |
| Worst case | -25% | 40% | 56,000,000 | 22,400,000 |
| Value | 70,000,000 |
First Chicago Best Case
Projected free cash flows and a terminal assumption are discounted to today to derive enterprise and pre money value.
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
| Free Cash Flow | -13,200,000 | -6,600,000 | 11,760,000 | 30,000,000 | 52,800,000 |
| Earnings Year 5 | 52,800,000 | ||||
| PE ratio | 10.00x | ||||
| Terminal Value | 528,000,000 | ||||
| Discount Value | 45.00% | ||||
| Present Value of Cash Flow | -9,103,448 | -3,139,120 | 3,857,477 | 6,786,553 | 8,237,471 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | 83,361,067 | ||||
| Value | 90,000,000 |
First Chicago Worst Case
Projected free cash flows and a terminal assumption are discounted to today to derive enterprise and pre money value.
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
| Free Cash Flow | -6,600,000 | -3,300,000 | 5,880,000 | 15,000,000 | 26,400,000 |
| Earnings Year 5 | 26,400,000 | ||||
| PE ratio | 10.00x | ||||
| Terminal Value | 264,000,000 | ||||
| Discount Value | 45.00% | ||||
| Present Value of Cash Flow | -4,551,724 | -1,569,560 | 1,928,738 | 3,393,277 | 4,118,736 |
| Present Value of Terminal Value | 52,680,533 | ||||
| Value | 56,000,000 |
Concluded Value

Disclaimer
This document has been prepared for the purposes stated herein and should not be relied upon for any other purpose. This document provides a summary of the work undertaken by Top Tier Advisory and unless required by law, this document should not be provided to any third party without our prior written consent. In no event, regardless of whether consent has been provided, shall we assume any responsibility to any third party to which this document is disclosed or otherwise made available.
This document was prepared exclusively for internal use as at the date hereof and does not carry any right of publication or disclosure, in whole or in part, to any other party. This document is for discussion purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by the representatives of Top Tier Advisory.
The information provided in this document is based solely upon financial and non-financial information provided.
Whilst our work has involved a benchmark analysis, our engagement does not include either an audit or a review in accordance with International Standards on Auditing of the information used in the preparation of this valuation report. Accordingly, we assume no responsibility and make no representations with respect to the accuracy or completeness of any information used in the preparation of this report.
Budgets and forecasts relate to future events and are based on assumptions that may not remain valid for the whole or part of the relevant period. Consequently this information cannot be relied upon to the same
extent as that derived from audited accounts for completed accounting periods. We express no opinion as to how closely the actual results will correspond to those forecasts used in this presentation.
Market conditions and volatility of such markets make valuation exercises, of both company cash flows and financial instruments, extremely challenging and have created a significant potential range of assumptions
on risk-free rate, equity market risk premium and debt spreads. In addition, theoretical assumptions may not reflect reality. Subjectivity over key inputs to the cost of capital and capital and operating expenditure
assumptions, as well as underlying concerns about the impact of the economic upturns and/or downturn on the financial forecasts increases the complexity of the valuation analysis.
The benchmarking of companies, businesses and related cash flows is not a precise science and the conclusions arrived at in many cases will, of necessity, be subjective and dependent on the exercise of individual
Judgement as well as publicly available information to a certain extent. There is therefore no indisputable single value and we normally express the value as falling within a range at a point in time. Whilst we consider our benchmarks to be both reasonable and defensible based on the information available to us, others may place a different value on the benchmarks.